series_fit_lowess_fl()

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Applies to: ✅ Azure Data Explorer

The function series_fit_lowess_fl() is a user-defined function (UDF) that applies a LOWESS regression on a series. This function takes a table with multiple series (dynamic numerical arrays) and generates a LOWESS Curve, which is a smoothed version of the original series.

Prerequisites

  • The Python plugin must be enabled on the cluster. This is required for the inline Python used in the function.

Syntax

T | invoke series_fit_lowess_fl(y_series, y_fit_series, [ fit_size ], [ x_series ], [ x_istime ])

Learn more about syntax conventions.

Parameters

Name Type Required Description
y_series string ✔️ The name of the input table column containing the dependent variable. This column is the series to fit.
y_fit_series string ✔️ The name of the column to store the fitted series.
fit_size int For each point, the local regression is applied on its respective fit_size closest points. The default is 5.
x_series string The name of the column containing the independent variable, that is, the x or time axis. This parameter is optional, and is needed only for unevenly spaced series. The default value is an empty string, as x is redundant for the regression of an evenly spaced series.
x_istime bool This boolean parameter is needed only if x_series is specified and it's a vector of datetime. The default is false.

Function definition

You can define the function by either embedding its code as a query-defined function, or creating it as a stored function in your database, as follows:

Define the function using the following let statement. No permissions are required.

Important

A let statement can't run on its own. It must be followed by a tabular expression statement. To run a working example of series_fit_lowess_fl(), see Examples.

let series_fit_lowess_fl=(tbl:(*), y_series:string, y_fit_series:string, fit_size:int=5, x_series:string='', x_istime:bool=False)
{
    let kwargs = bag_pack('y_series', y_series, 'y_fit_series', y_fit_series, 'fit_size', fit_size, 'x_series', x_series, 'x_istime', x_istime);
    let code = ```if 1:
        y_series = kargs["y_series"]
        y_fit_series = kargs["y_fit_series"]
        fit_size = kargs["fit_size"]
        x_series = kargs["x_series"]
        x_istime = kargs["x_istime"]
        import statsmodels.api as sm
        def lowess_fit(ts_row, x_col, y_col, fsize):
            y = ts_row[y_col]
            fraction = fsize/len(y)
            if x_col == "": # If there is no x column creates sequential range [1, len(y)]
               x = np.arange(len(y)) + 1
            else: # if x column exists check whether its a time column. If so, normalize it to the [1, len(y)] range, else take it as is.
               if x_istime: 
                   x = pd.to_numeric(pd.to_datetime(ts_row[x_col]))
                   x = x - x.min()
                   x = x / x.max()
                   x = x * (len(x) - 1) + 1
               else:
                   x = ts_row[x_col]
            lowess = sm.nonparametric.lowess
            z = lowess(y, x, return_sorted=False, frac=fraction)
            return list(z)
        result = df
        result[y_fit_series] = df.apply(lowess_fit, axis=1, args=(x_series, y_series, fit_size))
    ```;
    tbl
     | evaluate python(typeof(*), code, kwargs)
};
// Write your query to use the function here.

Examples

The following examples use the invoke operator to run the function.

LOWESS regression on regular time series

To use a query-defined function, invoke it after the embedded function definition.

let series_fit_lowess_fl=(tbl:(*), y_series:string, y_fit_series:string, fit_size:int=5, x_series:string='', x_istime:bool=False)
{
    let kwargs = bag_pack('y_series', y_series, 'y_fit_series', y_fit_series, 'fit_size', fit_size, 'x_series', x_series, 'x_istime', x_istime);
    let code = ```if 1:
        y_series = kargs["y_series"]
        y_fit_series = kargs["y_fit_series"]
        fit_size = kargs["fit_size"]
        x_series = kargs["x_series"]
        x_istime = kargs["x_istime"]
        import statsmodels.api as sm
        def lowess_fit(ts_row, x_col, y_col, fsize):
            y = ts_row[y_col]
            fraction = fsize/len(y)
            if x_col == "": # If there is no x column creates sequential range [1, len(y)]
               x = np.arange(len(y)) + 1
            else: # if x column exists check whether its a time column. If so, normalize it to the [1, len(y)] range, else take it as is.
               if x_istime: 
                   x = pd.to_numeric(pd.to_datetime(ts_row[x_col]))
                   x = x - x.min()
                   x = x / x.max()
                   x = x * (len(x) - 1) + 1
               else:
                   x = ts_row[x_col]
            lowess = sm.nonparametric.lowess
            z = lowess(y, x, return_sorted=False, frac=fraction)
            return list(z)
        result = df
        result[y_fit_series] = df.apply(lowess_fit, axis=1, args=(x_series, y_series, fit_size))
    ```;
    tbl
     | evaluate python(typeof(*), code, kwargs)
};
//
// Apply 9 points LOWESS regression on regular time series
//
let max_t = datetime(2016-09-03);
demo_make_series1
| make-series num=count() on TimeStamp from max_t-1d to max_t step 5m by OsVer
| extend fnum = dynamic(null)
| invoke series_fit_lowess_fl('num', 'fnum', 9)
| render timechart

Output

Graph showing nine points LOWESS fit to a regular time series.

Test irregular time series

To use a query-defined function, invoke it after the embedded function definition.

let series_fit_lowess_fl=(tbl:(*), y_series:string, y_fit_series:string, fit_size:int=5, x_series:string='', x_istime:bool=False)
{
    let kwargs = bag_pack('y_series', y_series, 'y_fit_series', y_fit_series, 'fit_size', fit_size, 'x_series', x_series, 'x_istime', x_istime);
    let code = ```if 1:
        y_series = kargs["y_series"]
        y_fit_series = kargs["y_fit_series"]
        fit_size = kargs["fit_size"]
        x_series = kargs["x_series"]
        x_istime = kargs["x_istime"]
        import statsmodels.api as sm
        def lowess_fit(ts_row, x_col, y_col, fsize):
            y = ts_row[y_col]
            fraction = fsize/len(y)
            if x_col == "": # If there is no x column creates sequential range [1, len(y)]
               x = np.arange(len(y)) + 1
            else: # if x column exists check whether its a time column. If so, normalize it to the [1, len(y)] range, else take it as is.
               if x_istime: 
                   x = pd.to_numeric(pd.to_datetime(ts_row[x_col]))
                   x = x - x.min()
                   x = x / x.max()
                   x = x * (len(x) - 1) + 1
               else:
                   x = ts_row[x_col]
            lowess = sm.nonparametric.lowess
            z = lowess(y, x, return_sorted=False, frac=fraction)
            return list(z)
        result = df
        result[y_fit_series] = df.apply(lowess_fit, axis=1, args=(x_series, y_series, fit_size))
    ```;
    tbl
     | evaluate python(typeof(*), code, kwargs)
};
let max_t = datetime(2016-09-03);
demo_make_series1
| where TimeStamp between ((max_t-1d)..max_t)
| summarize num=count() by bin(TimeStamp, 5m), OsVer
| order by TimeStamp asc
| where hourofday(TimeStamp) % 6 != 0   //  delete every 6th hour to create irregular time series
| summarize TimeStamp=make_list(TimeStamp), num=make_list(num) by OsVer
| extend fnum = dynamic(null)
| invoke series_fit_lowess_fl('num', 'fnum', 9, 'TimeStamp', True)
| render timechart

Output

Graph showing nine points LOWESS fit to an irregular time series.

Compare LOWESS versus polynomial fit

To use a query-defined function, invoke it after the embedded function definition.

let series_fit_lowess_fl=(tbl:(*), y_series:string, y_fit_series:string, fit_size:int=5, x_series:string='', x_istime:bool=False)
{
    let kwargs = bag_pack('y_series', y_series, 'y_fit_series', y_fit_series, 'fit_size', fit_size, 'x_series', x_series, 'x_istime', x_istime);
    let code = ```if 1:
        y_series = kargs["y_series"]
        y_fit_series = kargs["y_fit_series"]
        fit_size = kargs["fit_size"]
        x_series = kargs["x_series"]
        x_istime = kargs["x_istime"]
        import statsmodels.api as sm
        def lowess_fit(ts_row, x_col, y_col, fsize):
            y = ts_row[y_col]
            fraction = fsize/len(y)
            if x_col == "": # If there is no x column creates sequential range [1, len(y)]
               x = np.arange(len(y)) + 1
            else: # if x column exists check whether its a time column. If so, normalize it to the [1, len(y)] range, else take it as is.
               if x_istime: 
                   x = pd.to_numeric(pd.to_datetime(ts_row[x_col]))
                   x = x - x.min()
                   x = x / x.max()
                   x = x * (len(x) - 1) + 1
               else:
                   x = ts_row[x_col]
            lowess = sm.nonparametric.lowess
            z = lowess(y, x, return_sorted=False, frac=fraction)
            return list(z)
        result = df
        result[y_fit_series] = df.apply(lowess_fit, axis=1, args=(x_series, y_series, fit_size))
    ```;
    tbl
     | evaluate python(typeof(*), code, kwargs)
};
range x from 1 to 200 step 1
| project x = rand()*5 - 2.3
| extend y = pow(x, 5)-8*pow(x, 3)+10*x+6
| extend y = y + (rand() - 0.5)*0.5*y
| summarize x=make_list(x), y=make_list(y)
| extend y_lowess = dynamic(null)
| invoke series_fit_lowess_fl('y', 'y_lowess', 15, 'x')
| extend series_fit_poly(y, x, 5)
| project x, y, y_lowess, y_polynomial=series_fit_poly_y_poly_fit
| render linechart

Output

Graphs of LOWESS vs polynomial fit for a fifth order polynomial with noise on x & y axes

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